Racing at Caulfield on Saturday in Melbourne with a few rainy days giving us a forecast Soft 7 track. The rail is true the entire circuit, and with a light south-westerly wind we will be looking to favour runners who can put themselves in a good position on the turn.
Starting the day off with Race 1, Sportsbet Photo Finish Refund Handicap (1400m), and it looks to be a two-horse race between Miss Roumbini and Enna’s Dream.
The market has them very close, but we are going the way of the top weight in Miss Roumbini. She is two on the trot, enjoys the track and distance with a 50% strike rate, and we think just has the class edge over Enna’s Dream.
Ethan Brown keeps the ride after taking her to two wins and a minor placing from three starts this campaign, and barrier 8 looks to suit with our data showing a 19% strike rate for the Caulfield 1400m. It should be a great start to the day.
Moving on to Race 6, Sportsbet Same Race Multi Handicap (1700m), and we like the look of Nation’s Call (IRE). The son of Frankel (GB) is having a fantastic campaign since making the move to Australia, with two wins and a second from three starts. He should enjoy the soft track (4:2) and will handle the rise in distance based on his previous campaign starts.
Winning jockey Blake Shinn (2:2) sticks, and we are not too concerned about barrier 10 with a long straight from the 1700m start. We are looking for him to settle in the first couple of pairs and be hitting the line strongly.
Race 8 is the Sportsbet Sir John Monash Stakes (1100m) and there looks to be a few with a good chance in an open event.
We’re taking on the favourite in Recommendation and have an each-way look on Party For Two. Hoping the filly can use her speed from barrier 1 to jump well and lead throughout. She has been racing reasonably well without winning in her last few starts, but she is hard fit now and we like the slight drop back in distance after fading late over 1200m.
There is a case for most runners this race, and it looks set for another thrilling finish.
Good luck and happy punting.
As published on Thoroughbrednews.com.au